Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.052319 4.679262 5.371226 6.191688 7.138205 8.196205 9.469106
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.112510 3.907236 4.859513 6.085066 7.621646 9.486190 11.923609
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.430370 3.280661 4.374929 5.887341 7.926123 10.583475 14.318203
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.051731 2.955647 4.195752 6.022978 8.651663 12.305072 17.785111
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.690639 2.582832 3.879645 5.904270 8.993473 13.543781 20.784003
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.530016 2.466578 3.901798 6.264550 10.069483 15.980744 25.910029
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.369603 2.319877 3.848648 6.491304 10.963670 18.261244 31.146889
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.199986 2.127728 3.688922 6.512451 11.515934 20.059943 35.861947
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.004490 1.858473 3.356913 6.183394 11.411262 20.724427 38.708914
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.930814 1.792839 3.366402 6.455167 12.404539 23.436474 45.629873
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.891386 1.783566 3.474330 6.920826 13.819388 27.107029 54.896981
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.821549 1.704122 3.436970 7.097708 14.696598 29.869451 62.791574
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.740794 1.594321 3.331995 7.139724 15.343903 32.340645 70.638494
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.643807 1.435724 3.105307 6.895294 15.360336 33.532945 76.000525
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.556807 1.284824 2.872063 6.599456 15.217561 34.362731 80.699940
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.512736 1.223058 2.823085 6.706620 15.993029 37.321536 90.737168
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.455317 1.121279 2.669152 6.547237 16.125548 38.840509 97.629788
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.439223 1.115914 2.737707 6.929206 17.614813 43.763198 113.654557
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.415499 1.087913 2.747885 7.168781 18.789541 48.101581 128.928646
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.381975 1.029624 2.674795 7.185098 19.396558 51.113739 141.246557
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.333548 0.924558 2.467663 6.817741 18.935177 51.307509 146.008560
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.320612 0.913602 2.504523 7.114875 20.324053 56.611349 165.858750
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.317081 0.928325 2.612441 7.626611 22.394683 64.089035 193.201590